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Retired NBME 19 Answers

nbme19/Block 3/Question#19 (reveal difficulty score)
30 yo man and 24 yo woman; best estimate that ...
1 in 600 🔍 / 📺 / 🌳 / 📖
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submitted by shadowbox(18)
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cnSei eht a'sethrf igsblin is ctaef,fde we knwo hatt het f'hatres snretpa are htbo ri.serarc htaT ansme the biselpso epogenyst fo eht eharft are ,AA a,A a,A ro .aa

We wkon het rthafe is ecudfteaf,n os tath esanm eh octnna eb a,a dan mtus be tiehre AA, a,A ro aA.

Sncei theer ear yonl 3 ieedrfftn ypoesgtne eh loduc ,evha hwit 2 of mthe bineg rericar pt,neegosy treeh si a 23/ tibiarolpyb he is a rera.cri

So we oiatbn teh rybpltoiaib fo the tahefr ssapnig on a scvsrieee eelall as /32 baliib(ptyor of iebgn a r)cierar x 21/ baoiryitl(bp of igapnss no a vcsseeier eelall if eh is a ia)r.errc heT 23/ is tno atelrnve ot eht ibyitprblao atht the ehmtor si a crira.re

eW kown the qrcuynefe of tdceeffa slidniuavdi in teh launopotpi ta aergl is 0,1004/0 ^q,2(=) so 201=/0q.

,=1Pq+ os 00129/9=p dan 2(1.))00q20(92/=1029/p

To emka tpilumclaoitin eriase ew seamus 1=90/219,0 o:s

p0(q=*20/=1221)100/ gt&-;- isth is the irrcrae equfecrny (k..aa,. teosey)zhteogr in het upi,otpnaol wihhc ew acn uaessm orf teh tore.mh

,So ot resnwa the eeitnr nosiqute ew tiylmupl eht rbloiypbati atht theraf si a arricre 3)2/( nad apesss on het lealle ()/12 semit hte atbbiyliorp tath moetrh si a ricraer (/)1100 nda eapsss no het elleal /21;() ttpnugi it lal rgteetho ew va:eh

)/102(*/1*12*((()3//)01)2 = /20201 = 16/00

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cbay0509  akhtn uyo +1
garble  yhW is it uasmsed ttha hte homert si a c?raierr nltd'uoC ti sloa be sibspeol eth omethr si eectfnufad nad not a cira?err +1
garble  Turns uot het edeeifrfcn is ebengi,lgil neemnv.dri +
chaosawaits  hoW dddae all hetes estosniuq twih ibbvereatda m?ests lfm +
chaosawaits  eTh ncahce fo the etromh engbi a rierarc si /23 beacseu hse's obousvyli nto uoohmozgys (so rethe ear lyon etehr liteoipsissib orf er,h 2 fo chiwh hes si a c)r.raeri kTea teh esaurq otro of ,00004 to get q = 0.02 /3)2( * ()1/2 * 200 = 600 +1
neurotic999  orF peeolp klei me woh oaylryl sdemes yriabt pbPiulo: ttah het ehatrf si a rrciaer 32/ nc(ise we kwno eh its'n catefdef ie. he ins't .aa oS olny hgstni eh dcuol eb aer ,AA Aa p;ma& A.a 2 fo the 3 nsoiopt ear erricar itiebstrlPosa)atyb htta he esasps teh eeng 2iylrbb/Pai 1ot atth eht rohetm si a pecriqr2a-;&r.-gt 0/2,000=q41^. 0/.=20q1 =0/q01p12 ogniericsnd( p as oylir1ia) tbbP atth ehs asesps teh enge .1/32 2 x 2/1 x 1/100 x /21 = 060/1 +1
neurotic999  oFr leeppo lkie em woh rolayly sseedm p:u aiilrbyoPtb htat eth efhtar is a arercir /32 (nsiec ew nwok he stn'i cetdaeff ie. he nsit' .aa oS only tnhisg he clodu be aer AA, Aa ;&apm a.A 2 fo eht 3 ptsooni rae ecrarri ssea)tt. iilbrPbtoay atth eh esasps eth gnee 1.2/ tiyriPlabbo ttah eth romeht is a -p-r2gra;ter&qi.c ,10^/0=4002q. 0.=q012/ 012/p01=q c(iedrnsiong p sa 1). bPylaoribti atth esh seassp teh gnee 1./2 /32 x 2/1 x /0101 x 1/2 = 001/6 +



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