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Retired NBME 19 Answers

nbme19/Block 3/Question#19 (reveal difficulty score)
30 yo man and 24 yo woman; best estimate that ...
1 in 600 🔍 / 📺 / 🌳 / 📖
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submitted by shadowbox(18)
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eiSnc eth a'fhrest nblsgii is ctda,effe ew kown ttha hte aetrh'fs aentpsr are hbot crarsr.ei Thta amnes het bpisoles nogsypeet fo teh fraeht era ,AA A,a A,a or aa.

eW ownk the hteraf is ffecdtea,un so htat naems eh ncnaot be a,a dna tums eb reteih AA, aA, or Aa.

ineSc rthee ear ynlo 3 nefdritef egtyonpes he dcluo ehva, itwh 2 of mhet ignbe rerraci psn,oytgee herte si a 32/ ilriyobpbta he is a r.rrcaie

oS ew tnaobi teh itilbabypor fo het fetarh snsigap on a cevisrese lealle as /23 obypatlr(ibi of engbi a caie)rrr x 12/ oatybpib(ril of apsngsi no a cviseeesr ellael if eh si a )rearc.ri ehT 3/2 is ont trenleav to the rtplobbiyai atht eht ehormt si a earrci.r

We knwo the yreqcfeun fo tdcefefa vlidsinauid ni teh tnlaouippo at ergla si ,4001/00 q)=^2(, os q00.1=2/

P1+=q, os =901p092/ adn .1q0019(2(09p02)=/)2/2

oT amke lcunialptitmoi eaeisr we assmeu /10299,=10 os:

200=/10)q21*1=2p(0/ &--;gt shti is teh raierrc encyefurq .,(ak.a. )eyhgrtoteeosz ni eth ponluipota, ciwhh we cna susema rfo the tmoh.re

,oS to nsrwae eth eeritn squotnie ew mlptiuly het abtiiplrybo htat erfhta si a ericrar 3)/(2 nda ssaeps on eht elalel 12/() stime eth brlibtpiaoy ahtt hoetrm is a carerir 10)01(/ nad sapess on teh leelal ;(/2)1 utpgtni ti all oghrtete we have:

/(((*)1)122)20*(*1/3)0/1/ = 01/220 = 0016/

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cbay0509  tkahn uoy +1
garble  hWy is it uemadss thta eht hotrem is a rc?reair odCu'tln ti asol be lsseipbo het hemort is adtcfnuefe adn ont a rca?reri +1
garble  suTnr uto teh cfredfeien is ignig,llbee emnvi.denr +
chaosawaits  ohW dedad lla heste ussnoiqte twih dibrbeevaat ms?ste lmf +
chaosawaits  ehT cehnac fo eth mteohr bnegi a rrairec si 3/2 ucbaees hes's yvsioboul tno szyhgmooou (os eehtr rea ylon ehtre esipliobsitsi ofr hr,e 2 of which hes is a ri.e)crar aekT het asqeur roto fo 4,0000 ot tge q = 020. 3/()2 * 2/1)( * 200 = 060 +1
neurotic999  For pleeop keli me who yllraoy eesdms borabiy:lP upit ttha the hefatr is a rearcir 3/2 sni(ec ew wnko eh stin' ftdefeac e.i eh st'in aa. oS ylon ishtng eh cludo eb are A,A aA pam&; .aA 2 of het 3 onitpso era raicrre tbtsa)sbPt yeilraoi ttha he saepss hte nege abliy2 o1Prbti/ hatt teh ehtorm is a 2ea;&c-gtirr.pr-q 0.^0q04102/=, 01=/q20. =2p/q1010 necrsg(ondii p as i )loarbtbPy1i thta ehs ssspae the ngee /.123 2 x 12/ x 10/01 x 21/ = 06/01 +1
neurotic999  oFr eplpoe leki me woh ryaolly msdees u:p biioPalrbyt taht teh ftaher si a rraicre 2/3 ei(cns ew nowk eh itn's fcfdetea e.i eh s'nti .aa oS lnoy isntgh he loduc be aer ,AA aA map&; aA. 2 fo teh 3 ooinpts are iracerr )tasts.e liabrtbPoyi atth eh psssea het nege 2/.1 tobilayPrib that eht mhoert is a r-.geqr;iat2rp&c- =0.100q40/^,2 .1q2/00= =10q10/p2 goncnse(riid p sa ).1 Ptaliybribo thta seh spases eht eegn ./21 /23 x 12/ x 11/00 x /12 = 600/1 +



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