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Retired NBME 19 Answers

nbme19/Block 3/Question#19 (reveal difficulty score)
30 yo man and 24 yo woman; best estimate that ...
1 in 600 🔍 / 📺 / 🌳 / 📖
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submitted by shadowbox(18)
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neicS teh fears'ht sbignil is fdact,eef we owkn ttah eht easrht'f sanrtep rea tboh rea.rirsc atTh emsan the seoslbpi ytnepoegs of eht atfher aer A,A ,aA a,A or .aa

We kown het eratfh is uadfcf,nete os ttha nemsa eh otnnac eb ,aa nad muts be irtehe A,A ,Aa or A.a

Seicn hrtee era yoln 3 enifertfd nepseytog he oucld ,avhe iwht 2 of ehtm iebgn rarirce ot,gnpeeys ehrte is a /23 riaoyibltbp eh is a rr.icare

So we aiotnb hte rbilabtipoy fo eth eartfh anspsgi no a seceivsre aeelll as 2/3 t(iiboyplrab of ibeng a reciar)r x 2/1 ybaroiiptbl( of iangpss no a eecvsesir leelal fi eh is a )rrrea.ci The 3/2 si not vtaerlen ot het tyoilbpabri htat teh rmteho si a irercr.a

We okwn hte ufqnreyce of efdtfaec nsaidvudiil in het opapunotli at laerg si 0014/0,0 ^2,=(q) os .210q0=/

+qP,=1 so 09/90p=12 adn 2.)q9/0(912p0210=/20()

oT amke imiaoituntlpcl aesrei we umaess 1,2109/0=9 :so

2*p/0/=q01=2)0(1012 -;t&-g shit is the ciraerr erenqcyuf (a,.a..k eootgrht)eseyz ni eht oui,lponpta ihhcw we anc smuaes fro eht ethomr.

So, ot neawsr eth tereni uqtinsoe ew puitllym hte batoylipbir ahtt therfa is a erirrca 2)3/( dan asessp no eth leleal 2(1)/ emtsi the oiplirtbbya atth rhetmo si a irrearc 00/)(11 dan sepsas on eht leella /;(12) tigutpn ti lal treeohtg we vahe:

0/*(1//0(3222)/(*))()*111 = 0220/1 = 1006/

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cbay0509  akthn oyu +1
garble  hWy si it eudasms htta teh terhmo si a ?ecrirar onltdC'u ti lsao be pssiboel the eormth is dnceufaetf nda ont a riracre? +1
garble  rnsTu tuo teh fedcernife si ebgeg,niill rnenvd.emi +
chaosawaits  hoW edadd lal sehte sisqnteuo whit iedabtervba emsts? fml +
chaosawaits  heT cnhcea fo the trheom igneb a rcrerai si 23/ ebsueca h'ses uilsvyobo tno gmzoouhyso so( etehr era ynlo ehert siltosiipsibe rof rh,e 2 of chwhi she si a errca.i)r Teka the ueqras orto fo 4000,0 ot etg q = 2.00 (/23) * 2/)(1 * 200 = 600 +1
neurotic999  orF pleepo elki me woh yylolra sdemes tupr:i oabibylP ttha eht tehraf is a ercairr /23 ecs(in we nowk eh ts'ni etcffaed ie. he 'tnsi .aa So nlyo hgints eh cuodl eb are AA, Aa am;&p A.a 2 of het 3 tiopnso aer errirca oysbslbrt)i taiaetP atth he sspeas the gene tPy1l /o2ibriba taht the eormth is a rq-.ai-2&rtcregp; 1.q40=0200^,/ 01=2q./0 112=0p0/q n(onersidicg p sa ryatil1ibbP )o ttha seh sepssa the neeg 123 /2. x 12/ x /0110 x 2/1 = 10/06 +1
neurotic999  roF eeppol elik me woh lyyaorl esmsed u:p oiPaytbbrli htta hte rhtfae is a raecirr 3/2 nise(c ew wkon eh sit'n dfteaecf ei. he i'nts aa. oS lnyo gtihns eh cudol be era ,AA Aa pa&m; Aa. 2 of eht 3 stpnoio are rrreaci )ssa.tet blboatiyPir ahtt eh saspse eth egne 2./1 riybalboPti ahtt teh toehrm is a c.-;-ra2pi&rtqrge 400^1,.q200=/ /q0.1=02 0q/1=201p dgicison(ner p as 1.) irioytlPbba htat seh seasps the eegn 12./ /32 x 1/2 x 101/0 x 12/ = 60/10 +



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